28 February 2021

When Life Will Return to Normal

Exactly a year ago, the nation's first COVID death was reported. Since then, half a million Americans have died. Life expectancy in the US dropped by 2 years in 2020 and the percentage increase in deaths (15%) was its highest since 1918.

It's been a tough year but we're getting a better sense of when life will again be normal.

Figure that it takes two Moderna or Pfizer doses - and only one J&J dose - to vaccinate each person against COVID. Here is the rate at which we're vaccinating people.

Last week's average: 800,000

Yesterday (Saturday): 1,200,000

By early April: 2,300,000

The punchline? As Nate Silver points out, by April we will be fully vaccinating 70 million Americans per month which would equate to about 70% of all adults (16 and older) by the end of April.

So, what are your Memorial Day plans?

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