08 February 2024

Trump's Tactical Error That Will Cost Him the Election

Many nerds like me tend to think that politics is about facts and policies and programs. Here's a counterargument to that.

Hillary Clinton was more prepared and knowledgeable than any candidate in history. She had numerous policy papers.

Trump didn't bother with policy papers. He just wrote Tweets.
Clinton's 2016 policy papers had more than 50,000 words total.
In 2016, Trump's tweets were never more than 140 characters. (The limit at the time. And those were characters, not words.)
No one read Clinton's policy papers. Everyone read Trump's tweets.
Trump kept everyone's attention and in 2016, he won.

In 2017, Twitter doubled its limit to 280 characters and in 2020, Trump lost. His tweets had become too long to hold our attention.

Now in 2024, Trump only posts to Truth Social, which has a 500 character limit.

A bloat from 140 to 280 to 500 characters, each iteration more demanding to read. Trump's biggest weakness as a candidate is his unfounded optimism about how much the attention-span of average Americans has grown in the last 8 years.

[A friend calls me aside. "Ron. It's like you don't even read your own posts. Do you actually think anyone has read this far? You think that people will make it to your conclusion?"
"I just thought ..."
"- Ron. Nobody is going to read this far."
"But ..."
"Shhh. Just read your own post. Nobody else will."]

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