R World (Ron Davison muses aloud)
07 November 2020
How Little We've Changed in the Last Four Years - The Thin Margins By Which the 2016 and 2020 Elections Were Won
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Combined margin of victory in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania Trump in 2016: 77,744 Biden in 2020: 202,850 [And counting] All the news ...
31 October 2020
Big Percentage Fall and Rise of GDP - Pandenomic Extremes Explained
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Thursday, third quarter GDP numbers came out. They sounded really good. They even set a record for gain in a single quarter. Let me put it ...
Jobs and Stock Market Numbers During Carter, Reagan, Bush1, Clinton, Bush2, Obama and Trump Presidencies
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Two sets of facts for our last 7 presidents. (It's worth remembering that the economy didn't do well enough during Carter or Bush1...
Why Women Don't Vote For Trump (And Why Men Do)
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If only women voted, Trump would lose by about 19 points . My theory? Men imagine getting away with everything he gets away with. Women imag...
America Has Been Carried Forward by Innovation of Immigrants
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Between 2000 and 2010, the US hugely benefitted from the innovation of immigrants. But I've seen interviews of folks at Trump rallies. T...
The Case for a Biden Landslide
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It is true that Trump has a 10% chance of winning this election but it's also true that Biden has a 30% chance of winning in a landslide...
29 October 2020
GDP Growth From a Year Earlier - Down 2.9% In Spite of a Tripling of the Deficit to $3 Trillion
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Tuesday I posted that today's GDP growth would seem incredibly high but that it was important to compare to a year earlier rather than l...
27 October 2020
14 Weeks of Holidays and Vacation - Plus the Most Civil Perk of All - How the Dutch Treat Their Workers
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I was working with a team of nanotechnologists in the Netherlands a few years ago. We were defining their project calendar. "How many w...
A Fourth Generation Californian Rants About How The Senate is Designed to Give the Most Power to The States Least Able to Create Jobs and Grow Their Population
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As a fourth generation Californian, I am defensive about my home. People in blue jeans (first invented by Californian immigrant Levi Strauss...
17 October 2020
The Politics of Hobbits, Hooligans, and Wonks
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A group on one side of the river sees a group on the other side. They holler across, "How do we get to the other side?" The other ...
In Praise of Fivethirtyeight
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In 1980, Ted Turner launched CNN, the first 24-hour news network. In 1985, Rupert Murdoch bought Fox. Ted Turner is worth $2.2 billion. Rupe...
15 October 2020
It is Time to Change the Senate and Electoral College
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How much does the electoral college change things? Per the Economist , Donald's odds of winning the electoral college are 9%. His odds o...
12 October 2020
Columbus Day And Encountering Life from Another Solar System
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528 years ago, two continents began a slow collision that would devastate the people of one and transform the people of the other. In 1492, ...
08 October 2020
Lines I would like to hear from Biden in the next debate
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Lines I would like to hear from Biden in the next debate. Well of course he’s sending mixed signals about something as simple as wearing a m...
07 October 2020
The Single Best Predictor of Management Failure: How Trump and Pence Model a Rude and Polite Version of Disinterest in Any Other Opinions
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I've had the opportunity to be inside of a lot of organizations and was reminded of one in particular this evening as I watched Mike Pen...
Family Separation for the Children of Undocumented Workers - from illegal immigrants to tax cheaters
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Imagine a political group gets into office and they are as upset about undocumented workers and businesses as Trump supporters are about und...
02 October 2020
You Can Have Your Space, Cowboy: The Biological Imperative and How Hubris Won't Save You
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You can have your space, cowboy. 6 feet to be precise. Socialize outdoors and not in. Wear a mask. If you live with biological imperatives l...
01 October 2020
There is No "They" in a Democracy
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There is no they in a democracy. It's all us in here. One of the most consistent term in any conspiracy theory is, "They." ...
30 September 2020
Another Stark Contrast Between The Republican Party's First and Last Presidents: Lincoln, Trump and Time
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I've previously argued that Lincoln was the Republican Party's first president (okay, that's not an argument) and Trump will be ...
27 September 2020
Donald Trump's Precarious Finances - the New York Times Study of His Taxes Summarized
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The New York Times study of Donald Trump’s tax returns revealed a few remarkable things. You’ve probably heard that he paid only $750 in fed...
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