R World

R World (Ron Davison muses aloud)

29 December 2024

Warnings from the 1920s: the KKK, Tariffs, and the Devolution of Trade Wars into a World War

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In 1925, the Ku Klux Klan marched down Pennsylvania Avenue in Washington, D.C., in a demonstration the Washington Post called "one of t...
13 December 2024

The Performance of Job and Stock Markets Through 48 Years and 8 Presidencies

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Here is data for the last 48 years on labor and capital markets. The stock market performance (orange line) represents the average annual re...
08 December 2024

The 14th Amendment As an Obstacle to Trump's Policies

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Today Trump stated that he was going to end birthright citizenship - something granted by the 14th amendment. The 14th Amendment was created...

The Invention of Psychology Predated the Invention of Macroeconomics

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What I can tell you: Sell your stock at the market’s peak and buy when it hits bottom. What I can’t tell you: When the market is at its peak...
06 December 2024

A Long Walk and a Moonwalk - Armstrong and Aldrin's & Lewis and Clark's Journey's To Define America

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Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin (A&A) traveled to the Moon in 1969. Lewis and Clark (L&C) explored the American frontier, reaching Or...
04 December 2024

William Browder on Russia's Curious Lose-Lose Tendencies

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William Browder ran the largest investment fund in Russia until Vladimir Putin effectively drove him out of the country. Ironically, Browder...
03 December 2024

Biden's Very Wise Choice to Pardon His Son

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Trump has made it clear that he intends to use the presidency as a tool for revenge. Mitt Romney, a former Republican nominee for president,...
02 December 2024

Once Upon a Time ... They Set Aside Some Time for When There Was No Time

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Once upon a time, December was the 10th month, and the Roman calendar from January through December covered about 300 days. That left roughl...

Post-WWII Germany: A Four-Zone Experiment in Governance

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After World War II, Germany became a real-world experiment in governance, divided into four zones administered by the USSR, France, the UK, ...
27 November 2024

Conversation Starters for Thanksgiving Dinner

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At tomorrow's Thanksgiving dinner, here are some conversation starters, rated from safe to hell-bent on never getting invited anywhere e...
25 November 2024

Money Spent on Presidential Campaigns Ballooned After 2010 Citizens United Ruling

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U.S. presidential campaign spending has grown dramatically over the past few decades. The 2010 Citizens United ruling changed campaign finan...
23 November 2024

Trump's Zero-Sum Notions of Trade and How Far That Falls From The Ideal

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In an exchange with my friend Brian Blackwell, we were discussing tariffs. One often-overlooked aspect of this topic is the extent to which ...
21 November 2024

American Politics: Rich Communities Voting for More Help for Poor Communities Lose to Poor Communities Voting for More Tax Cuts for Rich Communities

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Silicon Valley (SV) and King County, Washington (KCW) have created more wealth—in the form of market capitalization—than all of Europe. Let ...
17 November 2024

Trump’s Paradoxical Path to a Popular Presidency

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Donald Trump’s best strategy for his second term might be to do... nothing. If he adopts an “inactive executive” approach—focusing on rallie...
09 November 2024

Elections as a Choice Between Exploring New Frontiers or Settling Into the Past

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Every four years, 338 million Americans—roughly 160 million of them voters—engage in the process of choosing the next president. It’s remark...
4 comments:
01 November 2024

How the Election Could Impact the Stock Market

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All the usual caveats apply to this stock market forecast. [which is to say, this is speculation not prophecy] November could be a tough mon...
29 October 2024

The MAGA Coalition and Next Week's Potential Reversal of Progress

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MAGA is essentially a coalition of losers from history: those who opposed FDR’s regulation of capital, Lincoln’s shift from tariffs to inco...
24 October 2024

What Was Possible With Even An Average COVID Response

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In the first year after the outbreak, COVID fatalities in the U.S. occurred at roughly twice the rate of the average OECD country. This sugg...
1 comment:
23 October 2024

Pennsylvania - Still a Swing State 224 Years Later

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In the 1800 election between Federalist John Adams and Democratic-Republican Thomas Jefferson, Pennsylvania was the swing state that tipped ...
18 October 2024

Zero-sum Thinking and Resultant Slowdown at the Heart of Economic Stagnation, BREXIT, and MAGA-nomics

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The UK's GDP growth per person slowed dramatically from 2.5% to around 0.5% annually following Brexit—a drastic change, largely attribut...
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I Have a Few Ideas

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Ron Davison
Working in the basement on the Escher Expressway (every direction down hill for fuel savings) and Mobius Strip DNA (for immortality).
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